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Land and condominiums are not the same market

6 min read10 questions answered

The question

Why do land prices and condominium prices in Colombo move differently?

The Central Bank measures land and condominiums with two different instruments, on two different clocks. Comparing their headline percentages directly is a category error.

The Central Bank of Sri Lanka publishes two property price series for Colombo District. One is for land. One is for condominiums. They are often quoted in the same breath, and their most recent readings sit far enough apart to invite a comparison neither series will support.

Take land first. The Central Bank’s Land Valuation Indicator put Colombo District 10.6% ahead in the six months to December 2025, weighed against the same six months of 2024. Now condominiums: in the Condominium Market Survey, the new condominium price index for that identical district came in 18.5% above its level a year before, for the first quarter of 2026.

Subtracting one from the other produces a number. It does not produce a fact. These are different instruments, aimed at different assets, over different periods, on different clocks.

Two instruments, two clocks

Land Condominiums
Published as Land Price Index; Land Valuation Indicator Condominium Market Survey
Geographic coverage Colombo District Colombo District
Frequency Twice a year Quarterly
Running since 1998 2017 Q3
Move quoted here Up 10.6% Up 18.5%
Period that move covers H2 2025 against H2 2024 2026 Q1, year on year
That period closed End of December 2025 End of March 2026

Two rows in that table matter more than the percentages do.

The frequencies differ. A half-yearly series and a quarterly one have no common unit of time, so calling one of them faster than the other compares two shapes rather than two speeds.

The periods differ as well. The land reading closes at the end of December 2025. The condominium reading closes at the end of March 2026. Three months separate them, and in property three months is not nothing.

What each series is actually of

The condominium index is a new condominium index. It follows the prices of newly completed units, and those arrive in a development, in batches, at a price the developer has set. Developments finish in lumps rather than in a smooth flow, so a quarter in which two well-located towers hand over poses a different measurement problem from a quarter in which none do.

The land series is a valuation indicator for land in the district. Land does not arrive in batches. There is no launch price, no promotional first phase, no fit-out specification to argue over and no service charge attached to it.

That difference on its own is enough to expect two lines that behave differently, without either of them being wrong.

Supply is the structural difference

The clearest reason the two markets diverge is not a statistic. It is arithmetic about what can be added.

A developer can add condominium units to Colombo District without adding a square metre of Colombo District. A twenty-storey building puts many saleable homes on a single plot. When demand rises, that kind of supply can respond, slowly, expensively and subject to approvals, but it can respond.

Land cannot. The quantity of it in the district is fixed. Whatever pressure arrives has nowhere to go except into the price, or into a decision not to buy at all.

This is a way of reading the two series rather than a published finding, and it is not a forecast of either. It does explain why anyone expecting the two lines to track each other is expecting something the underlying assets do not have to deliver.

They are not even quoted in the same units

The two markets do not share a vocabulary of measurement, and that is its own quiet source of confusion.

Land here is quoted per perch. Apartments are quoted per square foot, and the floor area on a condominium plan appears in square feet or square metres.

Unit Equals
1 perch 272.25 sq ft, or 25.2929 m²
1 rood 40 perches
1 acre 160 perches, or 4,046.86 m²
1 hectare about 395.4 perches, or 10,000 m²

Worth saying plainly. The official units are metric, square metres and hectares, while perches, roods and acres are what deeds, listings and buyers keep using. Both notations turn up on documents, and errors breed at the point where one gets turned into the other.

Converting a per-perch price into a per-square-foot one is not the error anybody makes. Treating percentage movements in the two markets as directly comparable is.

Which figure applies to a house

Neither cleanly, which is the honest answer and rarely the one people want.

A house is land plus a structure. The land underneath it belongs to the market the land indicator describes. The building on top of it belongs to no published Colombo series at all: what it is worth turns on age, construction, layout, condition and specification, and those are property-by-property questions rather than district ones.

Extent is a legal question rather than a statistical one, too. Older deeds carrying a “more or less” extent clause are widely reported by conveyancing practitioners to be unreliable on the point. Where such a deed and a current survey plan disagree about how much land there actually is, take it to a notary and a licensed surveyor before either figure goes anywhere near a price. A1 is not qualified to settle it and will not try.

Ask how old each number is

A half-yearly series and a quarterly one age at different rates, and this is where a good deal of confident quoting goes wrong.

The land reading above closes at the end of December 2025. The condominium reading closes at the end of March 2026. By the time either is being repeated in a conversation about a particular property, further months have usually passed on top of that, and only one of the two has had any opportunity to refresh in the meantime.

None of which makes an older figure wrong. It makes it older, which is a different objection and a fairer one. The working rule is to check the Central Bank’s own most recent release rather than the most recent article written about it, and to say the period out loud whenever the percentage is said out loud.

A figure carrying no period is not really a statistic. It is an impression with a decimal point in it.

What to do with the two numbers

If you own land, the land series is the relevant context, and the period quoted here closed in December 2025. Anything after that is not in it.

If you own a condominium for resale, note what the index measures. New stock sets the reference point buyers arrive with; your unit is competing against it rather than being measured by it, and the gap between those two positions is where most resale pricing arguments live.

If you own a house, use both series as background and neither as an answer. The building is doing too much of the work in that figure for a land indicator to reach it.

And if you are deciding between the two as a place to put money, that is an investment question rather than a market one. A1 does not give investment advice, and neither of these indices constitutes any.

The next step

The comparison worth having is not land against condominiums. It is your property against the handful of genuinely similar properties that have sold near it recently, and against whatever is on the market right now competing for the same buyer. A1 works across residential, commercial and land in seven districts, on either side of a sale or a letting, and will set that evidence out as a market appraisal.

If a lender or a court needs a formal figure instead, that comes from a chartered valuer. We will name one rather than produce something that merely resembles the document.

Questions

Everything else people ask.

Why did Colombo land and condominium prices move by different amounts?

Because they are separate markets, measured by separate instruments over separate periods. The land reading covers a half-year ending in December 2025. The condominium reading covers a quarter ending in March 2026, set against the equivalent quarter a year before. Part of the gap between the two numbers is a gap in the calendar.

Can I compare the land index and the condominium index directly?

Not as a like-for-like comparison. One is published twice a year and the other quarterly, they end three months apart, and they measure different assets, land in the first case, newly built condominium units in the second. Reading them alongside each other is fair. Subtracting one percentage from the other is not.

How much did Colombo land prices rise?

Up 10.6%, on the Central Bank's Land Valuation Indicator for Colombo District, setting the July-to-December half of 2025 against the same half of 2024. It is a district-wide indicator published twice a year, so it describes the district as a whole rather than any particular plot within it.

Is land a better buy than a condominium in Colombo?

That is an investment question, and A1 is not licensed to answer it. What we can set out is what each market has published, what comparable property nearby has actually done, and what a given purchase will cost to complete. Whether either suits your circumstances is a question for a licensed financial adviser.

Why is land priced per perch and apartments per square foot?

Convention, the two units come from different traditions of measurement and both survive in daily use. A perch is 272.25 square feet, so a per-perch land price and a per-square-foot apartment price are nowhere near the same scale. Sri Lanka's official land units are metric, while perches, roods and acres remain what deeds and listings use.

How many square feet are in a perch?

A perch is 272.25 square feet. Put in other notations, that is 30.25 square yards, or 25.2929 square metres. Forty of them make a rood; 160 of them make an acre, which comes to 43,560 sq ft or 4,046.86 sq m. One hectare works out at roughly 395.4 perches.

Which index should I use to price my house?

Neither, on its own. A house is land plus a building, and the two Colombo series cover land and new condominiums. The land component of a house's value sits closer to the land series, but the building is governed by its age, condition and specification rather than by any district-wide average.

Does the condominium index include resale apartments?

The published series is a new condominium price index, so it is built on newly completed units rather than resales. A resale apartment competes for the same buyers as new stock without being measured by the same index, which is worth remembering before treating the headline as a resale benchmark.

How far back do the two series go?

The Land Price Index has run since 1998. The Condominium Market Survey was launched in the third quarter of 2017. That matters when someone claims a long-run trend for condominiums, because there is under a decade of published series to claim it from.

What should I check before comparing two property price percentages?

Four things, the property type, the district, the length of the period and the date the period ends. Two percentages that differ on any one of those four are not describing the same thing, however similar the numbers look side by side.